Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Internal Dynamics

Stratfor has recently published two publicly accessible analyses which intelligently reflect how internal politics affects a country's foreign policy.

The first article is an excellent piece on how the Obama administration has come up short in the domestic politics game and how Obama is stuck between trying to solidify his base and capturing centrists. Essentially, the article states that Obama will be deeply focusing on domestic affairs for at least up until the next election and will be unable to undertake serious foreign policy initiatives as that would take away focus from re-election.

The second analysis, a video, discusses the unique role Ahmadinejad has been playing in Iranian politics and how differing factional alignment in the conservative camp is creating new dynamics and narratives. It raises a lot of good points regarding domestic Iranian politics and the competitions which shape the Iranian polity, namely how weakening clerical legitimacy does not necessarily give space to Reformists, but may instead empower the Revolutionary Guards and the security apparatus.

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